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Bankruptcy Stats

  • elliottwrightander
  • Mar 11
  • 2 min read

The estimate of bankruptcies flowing through the Top-25 U.S. accounting firms..

We’ll build this from industry size → clients → distress funnel → bankruptcy outcomes.



1. Total size of the Top-25 accounting firms

The largest U.S. accounting firms generate tens of billions in revenue. For example, firms like Deloitte alone produce over $30B in U.S. revenue, and the combined Big Four generate over $200B globally annually. 

If we add the Big Four plus firms ranked 5–25 (RSM, Grant Thornton, BDO, Baker Tilly, etc.), the Top-25 U.S. firms together generate roughly:

≈ $120B – $150B in annual revenue (U.S. operations).



2. Estimate total clients served

Large accounting firms tend to average $75k–$150k revenue per client (blended across audit, tax, advisory).

Using that range:

Total Revenue

Avg Revenue per Client

Estimated Clients

$120B

$100k

1.2M clients

$150B

$100k

1.5M clients

✅ Estimated clients served by Top-25 firms:~1.2 million – 1.5 million organizations

These include:

  • middle-market companies

  • private equity portfolio companies

  • nonprofits

  • funds

  • venture-backed startups

  • some large public companies



3. Companies with debt and covenants

Not every client has bank covenants.

Typical distribution:

Category

%

Businesses with meaningful bank debt 

~45–55%

Using 50% midpoint:

600,000 – 750,000 leveraged companies



4. Companies entering covenant distress

Typical middle-market distress rate:

8–12%

Leveraged Companies

Distressed

600k

48k – 72k

750k

60k – 90k

✅ Estimated distressed clients inside Top-25 accounting ecosystems:~50,000 – 90,000 companies

These are companies:

  • breaching covenants

  • negotiating waivers

  • needing recapitalization

  • facing liquidity stress



5. Companies that actually file bankruptcy

Only a fraction of distressed companies file.

Typical outcomes after covenant breach:

Outcome

Share

Waiver/amendment

~45%

Out-of-court restructuring

~30%

Sale/recap

~15%

Bankruptcy

5–10%

Applying that:

Distressed

Bankruptcy

50k

2,500 – 5,000

90k

4,500 – 9,000



Final estimate

Annual bankruptcy opportunities inside the Top-25 firm ecosystem:

~3,000 – 8,000 companies per year

These are companies that likely pass through:

  • audit/tax teams

  • advisory groups

  • restructuring specialists

  • legal referrals

before filing Chapter 11 or Chapter 7.



How the pipeline usually looks inside big accounting firms

Typical funnel across the Top-25 ecosystem:

Stage

Companies

Early financial stress

120k – 180k

Covenant breach / lender negotiations

50k – 90k

Formal restructuring

20k – 40k

Bankruptcy filings

3k – 8k



Why this matters strategically

This pipeline is why distressed advisory practices are huge profit centers inside firms like:

  • BDO USA

  • Grant Thornton

  • RSM US

They capture work such as:

  • liquidity modeling

  • debt restructuring

  • bankruptcy advisory

  • turnaround consulting

before law firms even get involved.


 
 

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